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需求旺季來臨 染料中間體價格上調(附股)

  15日分散染料中間體還原物價格上調2%,自年初以來,累計漲幅達12.5%。據介紹,還原物是分散染料的重要中間體,在分散黑和分散藍系列染料里面成本占比10%至30%不等。

  目前染料市場正處于需求旺季,廠家對還原物漲價預期強烈。在原料成本上升、環保趨嚴和4月中旬上海染料展召開等因素推動下,業內預計染料價格本月底有望再調一次,預計到3萬元每噸,目前分散染料較年初漲幅已近40%。2017染料行業年基本無新增產能,市場集中度高,對下游議價能力較強。

  概念股:

  浙江龍盛:產業鏈一體化優勢明顯。目前公司有分散染料約14萬噸、活性染料約7萬噸,以及還原物、H酸等上游配套原材料。分散染料和活性染料每上漲1000元,分別增厚EPS為:0.03元和0.01元;

  閏土股份:染料回暖,盈利能力提升,H酸為公司強有力競爭籌碼。目前公司分散染料11萬噸,活性染料4萬噸,其中活性染料盈利關鍵在于是否配套中間體H酸。閏土股份目前H酸產能為2萬噸,75%左右對外銷售,H酸是公司在活性染料中強有力的競爭籌碼。分散染料和活性染料每上漲1000元,將分別增厚EPS為:0.11元和0.04元;

  安諾其:受益于量、價兩方面彈性。隨著2015年下半年東營三期項目的擴產,及活性染料技改的完成,公司目前分散染料3.6萬噸,活性染料2.45萬噸,同時上游配套3萬噸中間體項目;差異化戰略使公司持續保持較高毛利率水平。分散染料和活性染料每上漲1000元,將分別增厚EPS為:0.05元和0.04元。

  海翔藥業:活性艷藍細分行業龍頭,盈利能力穩定。染料每上漲1000元,將分別增厚EPS為:0.01。


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